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Titre :
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The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable
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Auteurs :
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Type de document :
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texte imprimé
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Mention d'édition :
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Revised edition
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Editeur :
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London : Penguin Books, 2008
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ISBN/ISSN/EAN :
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978-0-14-103459-1
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Format :
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xxxiii, 444 pages / illustrations / 20 cm
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Langues:
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Anglais
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Index. décimale :
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153.4 (Savoir et connaissance (pensée, raisonnement, intuition, jugement))
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Résumé :
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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
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Exemplaires (1)
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829055766 | 153. 4 TAL | Livre | MEDIATHEQUE DE L'IDECAF | A : Philosophie, parapsychomogie et occultisme, psychologie | Disponible |